Articles
Neutral, dated analysis and explainers across Iran’s markets.
What Are Secondary Sanctions; How Do OFAC and the FATF Work?
How secondary sanctions differ from primary sanctions, how OFAC's SDN List and general licenses work, and how the FATF places countries on its increased-monitoring or call-for-action lists: all as predictable calendar events that shape currency-market expectations.
US Producer Inflation Cooled to 4.7% in July, Down From 5.5% in June, But the 10-Year Treasury Yield Stayed High (Sunday, August 16, 2026)
US producer prices (PPI) rose 4.7% year over year in July, down from 5.5% in June and softer than economists expected; a day earlier, consumer inflation had already come in calmer than feared. Yet the 10-year Treasury yield stayed elevated through Friday, August 14, a gap that keeps the path of the dollar and global gold, and from there Tehran's coin and gold prices, unsettled.
Trump to Host Coinbase, Ripple and Kraken CEOs at the White House on Wednesday, August 19; CFTC's New Crypto Innovation Committee Holds Its First Meeting the Next Day
President Trump is expected to meet the CEOs of Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Robinhood, Polymarket and Kraken at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building next to the White House on Wednesday, August 19, 2026, according to CoinDesk and Bitcoin.com News; the SEC and CFTC chairs are also on the guest list. The meeting precedes the CFTC's new crypto Innovation Advisory Committee's first session on Thursday, while the CLARITY Act remains stalled in the Senate until Congress returns in September.
The Fed's Chain to the Toman: How One Decision in Washington Reaches Tehran's Free Dollar and Coin
This lesson builds the full chain: how the Fed's interest rate moves the Dollar Index, how the Dollar Index moves the global gold ounce, and how that ounce, together with Tehran's free market dollar rate, sets Iran's gold and coin prices. With a labelled hypothetical and dated, sourced real figures.
$160 Million a Day: ExxonMobil and Chevron Booked a Combined $26.6 Billion Quarter; Anatomy of a Geopolitical Risk Premium (Saturday, August 1, 2026)
On Friday, July 31, 2026 (9 Mordad 1405), ExxonMobil and Chevron reported second-quarter 2026 results: $14.5 billion and $12.1 billion, a combined $26.6 billion. Divide Exxon's profit by the quarter's 91 days and you get close to $160 million a day. The bigger point is not the size of the numbers: Exxon produced less oil than in the previous quarter and still more than tripled its earnings. This piece unpacks the geopolitical risk premium and where Iran sits in it.
