Market events calendar

China official manufacturing PMI - August 2026

China's National Bureau of Statistics released the official manufacturing PMI for August 2026 data. The index rose to 49.8 from 49.2 in July, beating the market forecast of 49.7, though it marked a second straight month in contractionary territory below the 50 threshold.

Actual

49.8

Forecast

49.7

+1 more

As of Aug 31, 2026

PBoC Loan Prime Rate announcement - August 2026

The People's Bank of China announces its 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on August 20, 2026. The PBoC held the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, unchanged for a 15th straight month, amid caution over the fallout from the West Asia conflict and slowing growth.

1-year Loan Prime Rate

3.00%

5-year Loan Prime Rate

3.50%

+1 more

As of Aug 20, 2026

China industrial production, retail sales and unemployment - July 2026 data

China's National Bureau of Statistics released its July 2026 activity data on August 17. Industrial production grew 4.5 percent year on year, below the 5.0 percent forecast and June's 5.3 percent; retail sales rose just 0.6 percent and urban unemployment climbed to 5.2 percent. Chinese industrial output drives global steel and copper demand, bearing on commodities tied to Iran's exports.

Actual

4.5% (رشد تولید صنعتی سالانه)

Forecast

5.0%

+3 more

As of Aug 17, 2026

China CPI and PPI - July 2026 data

China's National Bureau of Statistics released July 2026 consumer and producer price data on 9 August 2026. Annual consumer inflation eased to 0.5 percent (forecast 0.8, prior 1.0), with prices down 0.1 percent month on month. Producer prices rose 3.5 percent year on year, slowing from 4.1 percent. China is Iran's largest oil buyer, so its price and demand trends affect commodity markets and Iran's export revenue.

Actual

0.5%

Forecast

0.8%

+4 more

As of Aug 9, 2026

China balance of trade - July 2026 data

China's customs authority published July 2026 trade data on 7 August 2026. The trade surplus reached USD 112.5 billion, above the USD 107 billion forecast, with exports up 23.9% yoy and imports up 27.7% yoy. The figures matter for gauging Chinese demand for oil and metals and for Iran's export revenue outlook.

Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting - July 2026 rate decision

The Bank of Japan held its two-day monetary policy meeting on July 30-31, 2026 (8-9 Mordad 1405), with the interest-rate decision announced on the second day. The meeting was accompanied by the Bank's Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices, and the Policy Board decided on the short-term policy rate. Outcome: the short-term policy rate was left unchanged at 1.00 percent, approved by an 8-1 vote with one board member dissenting in favour of a further increase.

Rate

1.00%

Forecast

1.00%

+2 more

As of Jul 31, 2026

China official manufacturing PMI - July 2026

China's National Bureau of Statistics released the official manufacturing PMI for July on July 31, 2026 (9 Mordad 1405), a reading that informs assessments of China's economic trend and its demand for oil and base commodities. Outcome: the index came in at 49.2, down from 50.3 in June and below the market expectation of 50.0. The output and new-orders sub-indices both fell back to 49.9, below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

Actual

49.2

Forecast

50.0

+3 more

As of Jul 31, 2026

PBoC Loan Prime Rate announcement - July 2026

The People's Bank of China announced its 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on July 20, 2026, per its regular monthly convention. The rate influences China's growth outlook and its demand for oil and base commodities relevant to Iranian exports. Both were left unchanged, with the 1-year rate at 3.0% and the over-5-year rate at 3.5%, the fourteenth straight month the two rates have held steady.

one year lpr

3.0%

five year lpr

3.5%

+3 more

As of Jul 20, 2026

China GDP - Q2 2026 preliminary estimate

China's National Bureau of Statistics reported on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 that the economy grew 4.3% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, the slowest quarterly pace since late 2022 and below both the market forecast (4.5%) and the first-quarter rate (5.0%). First-half growth came in at 4.7% and quarter-on-quarter growth at 0.9%. Slowing momentum in the world's second-largest economy weighs on commodity and emerging-market sentiment relevant to Iran's trade and gold flows.

Actual

4.3%

Forecast

4.5%

+4 more

As of Jul 15, 2026