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Sahmino

Sep 4, 2026

Friday3 events
All dayMedium impact
Sep 4, 2026
Political eventNorth AmericaHeld

US Treasury Sanctions Turkey's Golden Global Bank Over Alleged Iran Oil Revenue Transfers to Quds Force

The US Treasury Department sanctioned Istanbul based Golden Global Bank on 13 Shahrivar 1405 (September 4, 2026). The Treasury alleged the bank and its subsidiaries moved tens of millions of dollars tied to Iranian oil sales to China to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force through an exchange network. Golden Global Bank, founded in 2019, is Turkey's 35th largest bank with about 517 million dollars in assets, and Treasury said this marks its first direct sanction of a Turkish bank.

Status
Sanctions imposed on Golden Global Bank (Istanbul)
As of Sep 4, 2026
All dayHigh impact
Sep 4, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Employment Situation (jobs report) - September 2026

Official release date per the St. Louis Fed FRED release calendar. Actual figures are recorded once published.

Actual
162,000 jobs added in August 2026
Previous
revised up (June+July combined +55,000)
+2 more
As of Sep 4, 2026
12:00 AMHigh impact
Sep 4, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Employment Situation report - August 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August Employment Situation report on September 4, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, beating every estimate in a Bloomberg survey, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1 percent and the labor force participation rate rose to 61.6 percent. Average hourly earnings rose 3.1 percent year over year, the slowest annual wage growth since 2021.

Unemployment rate
4.1%
Nonfarm payrolls added
162,000
+2 more
As of Sep 4, 2026

Aug 31, 2026

Monday1 events

Aug 27, 2026

Thursday1 events

Aug 26, 2026

Wednesday3 events
4:00 PMMedium impact
Aug 26, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US GDP second estimate and corporate profits - Q2 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the second estimate of second-quarter 2026 GDP together with corporate profits data on August 26, 2026 (4 Shahrivar 1405). The economy grew at a 1.5 percent annualized rate, matching the advance estimate published July 30 and slowing from 2.1 percent in the first quarter. Personal consumption expenditures rose 3.4 percent and fixed investment rose 7.0 percent.

Actual
1.5%
Previous
2.1%
+2 more
As of Aug 26, 2026
4:00 PMHigh impact
Aug 26, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Personal Income and Outlays with PCE price index - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 on August 26 (16:00 Tehran time). The PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.2 percent monthly and 3.7 percent annually, unchanged from June; the core index rose 3.3 percent annually and personal income rose 0.4 percent.

Actual
3.7%
Previous
3.7%
+4 more
As of Aug 26, 2026
All dayMedium impact
Aug 26, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US GDP release (BEA) - August 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the second estimate of second-quarter 2026 GDP on August 26, 2026 (4 Shahrivar 1405). The economy grew at a 1.5 percent annualized rate, matching the advance estimate and slowing from 2.1 percent in the prior quarter.

Actual
1.5%
Previous
2.1%
As of Aug 26, 2026

Aug 24, 2026

Monday1 events

Aug 20, 2026

Thursday1 events

Aug 19, 2026

Wednesday2 events
9:30 PMHigh impact
Aug 19, 2026
Central bank decisionNorth AmericaHeld

Federal Reserve Releases July 2026 FOMC Meeting Minutes

The US Federal Reserve released the minutes of the FOMC's July 28 to 29, 2026 meeting at 2pm Eastern time (21:30 Tehran) on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 (28 Mordad 1405). Ahead of the release, gold and silver rallied sharply and the real yield on 10 year US Treasuries fell.

September rate hike probability before mid August CPI data (CME FedWatch)
۸۲ درصد
September rate hike probability after weaker consumer inflation data (CME FedWatch)
۳۰ درصد
+1 more
As of Aug 19, 2026
All dayMedium impact
Aug 19, 2026
Crypto eventNorth AmericaHeld

Trump to Host Ripple, Coinbase and Kraken Executives at the White House

Trump hosted Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken and Chainlink executives at the White House on August 19, 2026; SEC Chair Atkins and CFTC's Selig also attended. Per Arzdigital, the administration is reviewing expanding the US strategic Bitcoin reserve (about 323,693 BTC) and the CFTC is preparing Hyperliquid's US entry path; HYPE jumped 15 percent. The Senate's final CLARITY Act vote is set for September 15.

Status
Held
Clarity Act passage probability by end of 2026 (Polymarket, as of Aug 19)
حدود ۲۰ درصد
+3 more
As of Aug 20, 2026

Aug 14, 2026

Friday1 events

Aug 13, 2026

Thursday2 events

Aug 12, 2026

Wednesday3 events
6:00 PMMedium impact
Aug 12, 2026
Energy eventNorth AmericaHeld

EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report - 12 August 2026

The US Energy Information Administration's Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending August 7, 2026 showed a surprise 17.4 million barrel build in US crude inventories, bringing stockpiles to 424.4 million barrels, just 2 percent below the five-year average.

US crude inventory change
+17.4 million bbl
US crude stock level
424.4 million bbl
As of Aug 12, 2026
4:00 PMHigh impact
Aug 12, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US CPI report - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index for July 2026 data on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Headline CPI rose 3.4% year on year and 0.1% month on month, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 2.5% year on year and 0.2% month on month. Following the report, markets priced in a lower probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 meeting.

Year over year
3.4%
Month over month
0.1%
+2 more
As of Aug 12, 2026
All dayHigh impact
Aug 12, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US CPI release (BLS) - August 2026

Official release date per the St. Louis Fed FRED release calendar. The BLS reported annual CPI inflation eased to 3.4% in July 2026 from 3.5% in June, in line with expectations; core inflation eased to 2.5%. The index rose 0.1% month over month.

Actual
3.4%
Previous
3.5%
+3 more
As of Aug 12, 2026

Aug 7, 2026

Friday4 events
4:00 PMHigh impact
Aug 7, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Employment Situation report - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the monthly Employment Situation report with July 2026 data on Friday, August 7, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000, versus a forecast gain of 83,000, while the unemployment rate slipped to 4.1% as labor force participation fell to 61.4%. Federal Reserve decisions, which the report feeds into, influence the US dollar, global gold prices, and Iranian asset markets.

Actual
-23,000 nonfarm payrolls; unemployment rate 4.1%
Forecast
+83,000 nonfarm payrolls
+2 more
As of Aug 7, 2026
All dayHigh impact
Aug 7, 2026
Political eventNorth AmericaHeld

US Senate Passes Russia and Iran Energy Sanctions Bill (Graham Act)

The US Senate passed the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026" by a vote of 86 to 11 on Friday, August 7, 2026 (16 Mordad 1405). The bill sets 100 percent tariffs on major importers of Russian oil and gas and targets clandestine maritime networks used to evade Western sanctions. It now heads to the House of Representatives, which is not expected to vote before early September due to the congressional summer recess.

Actual
Passed Senate 86-11
As of Aug 7, 2026
All dayMedium impact
Aug 7, 2026
Political eventNorth AmericaHeld

US Treasury Sanctions Iran-Linked Crypto Exchanges Shelbit and Aban Tether

The US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned two digital asset exchanges used by Tehran, Shelbit and Aban Tether, on 7 August 2026 (16 Mordad 1405), along with Siavash Kayvanpour, described as the operator of a multi-jurisdiction network of front companies, under Executive Order 13224. Treasury said IRGC-linked crypto addresses sent more than $1 million to Shelbit exchange addresses, while more than $2 million flowed from Shelbit back to IRGC addresses.

Status
designated
entities
Shelbit Exchange, Aban Tether, Siavash Kayvanpour
+1 more
As of Aug 7, 2026
All dayHigh impact
Aug 7, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Employment Situation (jobs report) - August 2026

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report for July 2026 was released Friday, August 7, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls fell by a seasonally adjusted 23,000, against a forecast gain of 83,000, while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1%.

Actual
-23,000 nonfarm payrolls; unemployment rate 4.1%
Forecast
+83,000 nonfarm payrolls
+2 more
As of Aug 7, 2026

Aug 5, 2026

Wednesday1 events

Jul 30, 2026

Thursday2 events
4:00 PMHigh impact
Jul 30, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US Personal Income and Outlays with PCE price index - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the June 2026 Personal Income and Outlays report on July 30. The PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, fell 0.1 percent on the month and rose 3.7 percent on the year, while the core index excluding food and energy rose 0.1 percent monthly and 3.3 percent annually. Personal income rose 0.2 percent, spending rose 0.3 percent, and the saving rate was 2.7 percent.

Actual
3.7% (PCE price index, yoy)
Year over year
3.7%
+7 more
As of Jul 30, 2026
12:00 AMMedium impact
Jul 30, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US GDP advance estimate - Q2 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the advance estimate of Q2 2026 GDP growth on July 30, 2026. Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter, after 2.1 percent in the first quarter. Increases in consumer spending, investment and exports drove the rise, partly offset by a decrease in government spending. The next estimate is due on August 26, 2026.

Actual
1.5% (annualized, Q2 2026 advance estimate)
Previous
2.1% (Q1 2026)
As of Jul 30, 2026

Jul 29, 2026

Wednesday1 events

Jul 18, 2026

Saturday1 events

Jul 17, 2026

Friday1 events

Jul 15, 2026

Wednesday1 events

Jul 14, 2026

Tuesday2 events
4:00 PMHigh impact
Jul 14, 2026
Economic dataNorth AmericaHeld

US CPI report - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June 2026 Consumer Price Index. Annual inflation eased to 3.5% (from 4.2% the prior month and below the 3.8% forecast), with the index down 0.4% on the month, largely on falling energy prices; core inflation (excluding food and energy) ran at 2.6% year over year and was flat on the month. The reading shapes Federal Reserve rate expectations and moves the dollar index and gold price, both key drivers of Iran's parallel FX and gold markets.

All dayMedium impact
Jul 14, 2026
Economic eventNorth AmericaHeld

Fed Chair Warsh's semiannual monetary policy testimony to Congress (July 2026)

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered the semiannual monetary policy report to Congress, appearing before the House Financial Services Committee on July 14, 2026 (23 Tir 1405) and the Senate Banking Committee on July 15. Warsh reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to its 2% inflation goal, called the recent improvement in inflation not yet complete, and gave few clues on the rate path, with the federal funds target range held at 3.50%-3.75%. It is closely watched for the dollar and gold.

Status
Held
Rate
3.50%–3.75%
+1 more
As of Jul 15, 2026

Jul 2, 2026

Thursday1 events