Iran's Rent Inflation Hit a Cooling Point in Tir 1405, But Real Tehran Leases Jumped Up to 100% the Same Season (Friday, August 14, 2026)

Iran's official report says rent is the calmest number in the economy, but Tehran tells a very different story Iran's Statistical Center says rent was the slowest growing spending category in Tir 1405 Point to point rent inflation in Tir landed at thirty one point seven percent That number is calm, but it only tells half the story of Tehran's rental market Real Tehran leases jumped as much as one hundred percent this moving season The same pattern showed up in Khordad too, with a gap near fifty seven points Part of the reason is that tenants simply cannot absorb the sharp annual jumps anymore The bigger reason is that landlords face no legal duty to renew a lease at all Eghtesadonline writes this gap does not mean rental pressure has disappeared The official index mostly tracks renewals, not the fresh contracts signed each season Anyone signing a new Tehran lease this year paid close to three times the official rate Here are three things worth watching in the months ahead The Mordad report will be the first real test of this widening gap The bottom line is simple, a calm index does not mean a calm market Full analysis on Sahmino dot com, do you think this gap closes or keeps widening