Market events calendar

PBoC Loan Prime Rate announcement - July 2026

The People's Bank of China announced its 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on July 20, 2026, per its regular monthly convention. The rate influences China's growth outlook and its demand for oil and base commodities relevant to Iranian exports. Both were left unchanged, with the 1-year rate at 3.0% and the over-5-year rate at 3.5%, the fourteenth straight month the two rates have held steady.

one year lpr:

3.0%

five year lpr:

3.5%

+3 more

As of Jul 20, 2026

Cash subsidy deposit for deciles 1-3 - Tir 1405

Iran's Targeted Subsidy Organization deposited the cash subsidy for deciles 1-3 on July 16, 2026 (25 Tir 1405) at 400,000 tomans per person (400,000 for a one-person household, 800,000 for two, 1,200,000 for three). The payment is part of the targeted subsidy program for lower-income households; the subsidy for deciles 4-9 is scheduled for 31 Tir (July 22).

Status:

deposited

amount per person toman:

400000

As of Jul 16, 2026

China GDP - Q2 2026 preliminary estimate

China's National Bureau of Statistics reported on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 that the economy grew 4.3% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, the slowest quarterly pace since late 2022 and below both the market forecast (4.5%) and the first-quarter rate (5.0%). First-half growth came in at 4.7% and quarter-on-quarter growth at 0.9%. Slowing momentum in the world's second-largest economy weighs on commodity and emerging-market sentiment relevant to Iran's trade and gold flows.

Actual:

4.3%

Forecast:

4.5%

+4 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

US Producer Price Index (PPI) - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June 2026 Producer Price Index (PPI) on July 15 (24 Tir 1405); alongside the CPI it is a main gauge of inflationary pressure and a key input to Fed policy expectations. Final-demand PPI fell 0.3 percent in June (versus a forecast of unchanged) and rose 5.5 percent year over year; core PPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.2 percent on the month and 4.7 percent on the year, signaling easing pipeline inflation driven mainly by falling energy prices.

Actual:

-0.3%

Forecast:

0.0%

+5 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

US CPI report - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June 2026 Consumer Price Index. Annual inflation eased to 3.5% (from 4.2% the prior month and below the 3.8% forecast), with the index down 0.4% on the month, largely on falling energy prices; core inflation (excluding food and energy) ran at 2.6% year over year and was flat on the month. The reading shapes Federal Reserve rate expectations and moves the dollar index and gold price, both key drivers of Iran's parallel FX and gold markets.

Fed Chair Warsh's semiannual monetary policy testimony to Congress (July 2026)

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered the semiannual monetary policy report to Congress, appearing before the House Financial Services Committee on July 14, 2026 (23 Tir 1405) and the Senate Banking Committee on July 15. Warsh reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to its 2% inflation goal, called the recent improvement in inflation not yet complete, and gave few clues on the rate path, with the federal funds target range held at 3.50%-3.75%. It is closely watched for the dollar and gold.

Status:

Held

Rate:

3.50%–3.75%

+1 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

Saipa Quick LGX-L pre-sale window - second half of Tir 1405

Registration for Saipa's Quick LGX-L pre-sale round opens for the second half of Tir 1405, running July 13-15, 2026, on Iran's unified vehicle sales platform.

Central Bank of Iraq cuts traveler dollar allowance to $2,000

On July 8, 2026 the Central Bank of Iraq cut the monthly cash foreign-currency allowance for outbound Iraqi travelers from $3,000 to $2,000 per adult passenger. The move is part of a broader CBI reform package to manage foreign-exchange reserves and curb parallel-market dollar demand, with relevance for Iran-Iraq cross-border currency and trade flows.

Status:

implemented

newAllowanceUsd:

2000

+1 more

As of Jul 8, 2026

Turkey CPI report - June 2026 data

Turkey's statistics office (TUIK) reported annual CPI inflation of 32.11% for June 2026, down from 32.61% in May. TUIK publishes the CPI print on the third working day of each month.

Actual:

32.11

Previous:

32.61

+1 more

As of Jul 3, 2026

US Employment Situation report - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Employment Situation report for June 2026 data on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 57,000, below the roughly 115,000 consensus forecast, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and average hourly earnings increased 0.3% month over month to $37.64.

Iran Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - Khordad 1405 data

The ICCIMA research center published Iran's overall-economy Purchasing Managers' Index for Khordad 1405 (May-June 2026) data in early Tir. Outlets reported diverging figures (38.5 per Taadol Newspaper versus 42.9 in other sources), though both remain below the 50 expansion threshold; the industrial sub-index hit a record low.

Status:

reported with diverging figures across sources

note fa:

طبق روزنامه تعادل ۳۸.۵ و بر اساس سایر منابع رسانه‌ای ۴۲.۹؛ هر دو رقم زیر آستانه ۵۰

As of Jul 1, 2026

Tehran residential construction-input price index - Winter 1404 (Q4)

The Statistical Center of Iran reported the Tehran residential construction-input price index at 278.6 for winter 1404 (Q4, base period 1402=100), up 36% quarter-on-quarter and 96.8% year-on-year. The index underlies the site's construction-cost calculator.

Actual:

278.6

qoq:

+36%

+2 more

As of Mar 20, 2026