Market events calendar

Iran's 100 percent third-party insurance penalty waiver window closes

Iran's Central Insurance announced that penalties for vehicles lacking valid third-party insurance are fully forgiven from Shahrivar 2 to 13, 1405 (August 24 to September 4, 2026). Per Donya-e-Eqtesad, the program aims to encourage owners of uninsured vehicles to renew or buy third-party coverage; full registration details have not yet been announced.

Status

window closed

As of Sep 4, 2026

Panama Canal to Cut Daily Ship Transit Cap From September 4

Update: as of September 4, 2026, the Panama Canal daily transit cap fell to 34 vessels, as previously announced.

Status

in effect

Daily transit cap

34 فروند در روز

As of Sep 4, 2026

US Employment Situation (jobs report) - September 2026

Official release date per the St. Louis Fed FRED release calendar. Actual figures are recorded once published.

Actual

162,000 jobs added in August 2026

Previous

revised up (June+July combined +55,000)

+2 more

As of Sep 4, 2026

US Employment Situation report - August 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August Employment Situation report on September 4, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, beating every estimate in a Bloomberg survey, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1 percent and the labor force participation rate rose to 61.6 percent. Average hourly earnings rose 3.1 percent year over year, the slowest annual wage growth since 2021.

Unemployment rate

4.1%

Nonfarm payrolls added

162,000

+2 more

As of Sep 4, 2026

Iran Khodro Raises Vehicle Prices Starting September 3

Iran Khodro said consumer prices for its vehicles will rise starting Thursday, September 3, 2026 (12 Shahrivar 1405), due to a higher scrappage-certificate count and value under the amended bylaw for Article 10 of the Auto Industry Organization Law, plus higher vehicle-registration costs. Buyers must pay the price difference before an invoice can be issued or a license plate assigned.

Status

in effect as announced

As of Sep 3, 2026

Saipa Opens Non-Lottery Registration for Ordinary Applicants

Ordinary applicants who missed out on Saipa's previous sales rounds can register, without a lottery, starting 10 a.m. Sunday, 1 Shahrivar 1405 (September 1, 2026), for leftover capacity from the family-support and youth-population program. Registration runs through saipa.iranecar.com, offering the Quick GX-L, Quick S, Aria and Pars Nova models at non-final prices, with delivery due between Shahrivar 1405 and Aban 1406.

Status

registration opened as scheduled

As of Sep 1, 2026

Eurozone Flash CPI Inflation, August 2026

Eurostat's flash estimate put annual eurozone inflation at 3.3 percent in August 2026, up from 2.9 percent in July and the highest since September 2023, while core inflation (excluding energy and food) eased to 2.4 percent. The estimate was released Tuesday, 10 Shahrivar 1405 (September 1, 2026).

Actual

3.3%

Previous

2.9%

+1 more

As of Sep 1, 2026

Social Security Pension Arrears Payments Likely to Start September 1

Iran's Minister of Cooperatives, Labour and Social Welfare had said payment of Social Security pension adjustment arrears would likely begin on 10 Shahrivar 1405 (1 September 2026). The arrears relate to unpaid increases for Farvardin and Ordibehesht. According to Ecoiran at 12:51 Tehran time on Tuesday, 10 Shahrivar, the payment process actually began the evening of Monday, 9 Shahrivar, and deposits are continuing gradually.

Payment status

آغاز شد

As of Sep 1, 2026

Karaj corporate fuel station state tender by Iran's Privatization Organization

Iran's Privatization Organization published a notice on 4 August 2026 (13 Mordad 1405) covering four state assets, one of them a corporate fuel station in Karaj on a 784.63 square metre plot. Its base value is set at about 2,974.68 billion rials, and the tender is held on 1 September 2026 (10 Shahrivar 1405), the same day as the Foulad Makran and Foulad Meybod share tenders. The sale follows the directive on selecting strategic buyers and verifying managerial eligibility.

China official manufacturing PMI - August 2026

China's National Bureau of Statistics released the official manufacturing PMI for August 2026 data. The index rose to 49.8 from 49.2 in July, beating the market forecast of 49.7, though it marked a second straight month in contractionary territory below the 50 threshold.

Actual

49.8

Forecast

49.7

+1 more

As of Aug 31, 2026

G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Asheville

The US Treasury held the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, from August 31 to September 1, 2026 (9 to 10 Shahrivar 1405). On the sidelines, according to Donya-e-Eqtesad citing CNBC, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied claims of a rift with Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and defended the Treasury's bond market intervention.

Status

برگزار شد

As of Sep 1, 2026

Statistics Center of Iran CPI report - Mordad 1405 data

Iran's Statistics Center publishes a Consumer Price Index report each month covering the preceding Persian calendar month. The Mordad 1405 report was published on 5 Shahrivar 1405 (August 27, 2026): the household CPI reached 700.1, with monthly inflation of 3.4 percent (up from 3.1 percent in Tir), point to point inflation of 89 percent, and a 12 month average annual inflation rate of 69.9 percent.

Actual

3.4%

Previous

3.1%

+3 more

As of Aug 27, 2026

Central Bank of Iran consumer price index, Mordad 1405 data

Vahid Majed, Central Bank of Iran deputy for monetary policy, said in televised remarks reported on 27 August 2026 (5 Shahrivar 1405) that monthly inflation for Mordad 1405 came in at 3.7 percent, down from a peak of 8.5 percent in Ordibehesht, a sign the pace of inflation is slowing. He attributed the decline to monetary and prudential policies the central bank began in Khordad 1405.

Month over month

3.7%

As of Aug 27, 2026

Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium 2026

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City hosts the annual Jackson Hole symposium from August 27 to 29, 2026 (5 to 7 Shahrivar 1405) in Wyoming. On Friday, August 28, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, in his first major address since taking the post, warned inflation is not meaningfully slowing. Gold fell about 3 percent and bitcoin retreated to near $78,400, while markets raised the odds of a September Fed rate hike to near 50 percent.

Fed Chair Warsh remarks summary

تورم به‌طور محسوس کاهش نمی‌یابد

Global gold ounce reaction

-3.08%

+2 more

As of Aug 28, 2026

US GDP second estimate and corporate profits - Q2 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the second estimate of second-quarter 2026 GDP together with corporate profits data on August 26, 2026 (4 Shahrivar 1405). The economy grew at a 1.5 percent annualized rate, matching the advance estimate published July 30 and slowing from 2.1 percent in the first quarter. Personal consumption expenditures rose 3.4 percent and fixed investment rose 7.0 percent.

Actual

1.5%

Previous

2.1%

+2 more

As of Aug 26, 2026

US Personal Income and Outlays with PCE price index - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 on August 26 (16:00 Tehran time). The PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.2 percent monthly and 3.7 percent annually, unchanged from June; the core index rose 3.3 percent annually and personal income rose 0.4 percent.

Actual

3.7%

Previous

3.7%

+4 more

As of Aug 26, 2026

US GDP release (BEA) - August 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the second estimate of second-quarter 2026 GDP on August 26, 2026 (4 Shahrivar 1405). The economy grew at a 1.5 percent annualized rate, matching the advance estimate and slowing from 2.1 percent in the prior quarter.

Actual

1.5%

Previous

2.1%

As of Aug 26, 2026

Social Security Extends Employers' Tir Contribution Deadline to Shahrivar 1

Iran's Social Security Organization announced on Saturday, 22 August 2026, that due to a portal disruption, the deadline for employers to submit lists and pay Tir 1405 insurance contributions, plus special-group contributions such as drivers, was extended without penalty to midnight on Sunday, 23 August 2026.

Iran Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - Mordad 1405 data

The research centre of the Iran Chamber of Commerce, Industries, Mines and Agriculture publishes the whole-economy and manufacturing PMI each month, and the report covering Mordad 1405 data is expected in the first ten days of Shahrivar 1405 on its usual cadence. No exact release date has been announced yet, so the listed date marks the start of that window. A reading above 50 indicates expansion and a reading below 50 indicates contraction in economic activity.

Bahman Motor Opens Auction Sale of 5 Models

Per its official announcement, Bahman Motor will run an auction sale of five passenger models (Mazda3, Shuval 6, Respect Prime, Fidelity Elite and Fidelity Prestige) from Saturday, 31 Mordad 1405 (August 22, 2026) through Wednesday, 4 Shahrivar 1405 (August 26, 2026), via its platform auction.bahman.ir. Bids and deposits are submitted only through that system.

IME Changes Trading Hall Scheduling and Auction Method Starting August 22

The Iran Mercantile Exchange's physical market operations management announced that starting Saturday, 22 August 2026 (31 Mordad 1405), the separation, order-registration timing and start times of trading halls, along with the auction method, will change. Hall by hall details are set out in the exchange's official notice.

Cash subsidy deposit for deciles 4-9 - Mordad 1405

Iran's Targeted Subsidies Organization deposited the Mordad 1405 cash subsidy for deciles 4-9 into household heads' accounts on 30 Mordad 1405 (21 August 2026). The payment was 300,000 tomans per person, net of any loan installments owed by recipients. It followed the deciles 1-3 deposit made on 25 Mordad.

Actual

300,000 تومان

As of Aug 21, 2026

Payment of August Pensions Begins for 5.3 Million Social Security Retirees

Iran's Social Security Organization said in a notice on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (29 Mordad 1405) that payment of August pensions for more than 5.3 million of its retirees and pensioners began at noon that day and would be carried out over three days, alphabetically and through partner banks. Per Ecoiran, citing Jamaran, August pay slips are viewable from the first of Shahrivar through the organization's online services portal and the "Tamin-e Man" app.

Status

started

As of Aug 20, 2026

PBoC Loan Prime Rate announcement - August 2026

The People's Bank of China announces its 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on August 20, 2026. The PBoC held the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, unchanged for a 15th straight month, amid caution over the fallout from the West Asia conflict and slowing growth.

1-year Loan Prime Rate

3.00%

5-year Loan Prime Rate

3.50%

+1 more

As of Aug 20, 2026

Federal Reserve Releases July 2026 FOMC Meeting Minutes

The US Federal Reserve released the minutes of the FOMC's July 28 to 29, 2026 meeting at 2pm Eastern time (21:30 Tehran) on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 (28 Mordad 1405). Ahead of the release, gold and silver rallied sharply and the real yield on 10 year US Treasuries fell.

September rate hike probability before mid August CPI data (CME FedWatch)

۸۲ درصد

September rate hike probability after weaker consumer inflation data (CME FedWatch)

۳۰ درصد

+1 more

As of Aug 19, 2026

UAE Suspends Trade and Financial Relations With Iran

The United Arab Emirates Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement early Wednesday, 28 Mordad 1405 (August 19, 2026), that all trade activity, economic relations and financial transactions with Iran are suspended until further notice. The decision came hours after the UAE Ministry of Defense said it had detected two ballistic missiles near Dubai airspace, a claim Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson denied.

Status

announced

As of Aug 19, 2026

China industrial production, retail sales and unemployment - July 2026 data

China's National Bureau of Statistics released its July 2026 activity data on August 17. Industrial production grew 4.5 percent year on year, below the 5.0 percent forecast and June's 5.3 percent; retail sales rose just 0.6 percent and urban unemployment climbed to 5.2 percent. Chinese industrial output drives global steel and copper demand, bearing on commodities tied to Iran's exports.

Actual

4.5% (رشد تولید صنعتی سالانه)

Forecast

5.0%

+3 more

As of Aug 17, 2026

Iran VAT payment deadline for the spring 1405 period with penalty waiver

Under a circular from Iran's National Tax Administration, taxpayers who settle or arrange payment of their value-added tax liability for the spring 1405 period through the taxpayer portal by the end of Sunday 16 August 2026 qualify for a waiver of penalties. The deadline is a mid-August cash-flow date for Iranian manufacturers and listed companies.

Status

Deadline in effect as scheduled per circular

As of Aug 16, 2026

Iran Disburses a Further 110,000 Billion Tomans of Wheat Farmers' Claims Through 16 August 2026

The head of Iran's Targeted Subsidies Organization said on Thursday, 22 Mordad 1405 (August 13, 2026), that the gradual disbursement of a further 110,000 billion tomans of wheat farmers' claims began on 23 Mordad (August 14) and will continue through Sunday, 25 Mordad (August 16). The payment brings cumulative disbursements to farmers from 110,100 to 220,100 billion tomans, with about 98% of the country's wheat farmers now having received payment.

Status

in_progress

Amount of new payment tranche

۱۱۰ هزار میلیارد تومان

+1 more

As of Aug 14, 2026

Cash subsidy deposit for deciles 1-3 - Mordad 1405

Iran's Targeted Subsidies Organization deposited the Mordad 1405 cash subsidy for deciles 1-3 into household heads' accounts on Sunday, 25 Mordad 1405 (16 August 2026). The payment is 400,000 tomans per person and became withdrawable from midnight the same day. Per ISNA, round 186 of the subsidy was credited and withdrawable that day, totaling 112,852 billion rials paid to 10,386,299 household heads.

Value

112,852 billion rials

Number of recipient household heads

10,386,299

As of Aug 16, 2026

Euro area GDP second estimate - Q2 2026

Eurostat published the second estimate of euro area GDP for Q2 2026 on 14 August 2026. Quarterly growth was confirmed at 0.4 percent, matching the flash estimate, with annual growth at 1.0 percent, up from a revised 0.5 percent the prior quarter. Spain led major euro area economies with 0.7 percent quarterly growth.

Actual

0.4% QoQ / 1.0% YoY

Previous

0.0% QoQ / 0.5% YoY (revised)

+1 more

As of Aug 14, 2026

US Producer Price Index (PPI) - July 2026 data

The BLS released the Producer Price Index for July 2026 on August 13, 2026. Annual PPI growth eased to 4.7%, the lowest since March, down from 5.5% in June; month over month the index was unchanged.

Actual

4.7%

Previous

5.5%

+1 more

As of Aug 13, 2026

US PPI release (BLS) - August 2026

Official release date per the St. Louis Fed FRED release calendar. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday, August 13, 2026, that annual PPI growth eased to 4.7% in July 2026, down from 5.5% in June, with no monthly increase. Core producer inflation came in at 4.2% year on year.

Actual

4.7%

Previous

5.5%

+1 more

As of Aug 13, 2026

TCMB Quarterly Inflation Report 2026-III

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) releases its quarterly Inflation Report together with a press conference by the Governor presenting updated inflation forecasts and economic projections. Distinct from the bank's scheduled rate-decision meetings, this report has historically moved the Turkish lira.

Forecast

٪۲۸

Previous

٪۲۶

+3 more

As of Aug 13, 2026

US CPI report - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index for July 2026 data on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Headline CPI rose 3.4% year on year and 0.1% month on month, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 2.5% year on year and 0.2% month on month. Following the report, markets priced in a lower probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 meeting.

Year over year

3.4%

Month over month

0.1%

+2 more

As of Aug 12, 2026

US CPI release (BLS) - August 2026

Official release date per the St. Louis Fed FRED release calendar. The BLS reported annual CPI inflation eased to 3.4% in July 2026 from 3.5% in June, in line with expectations; core inflation eased to 2.5%. The index rose 0.1% month over month.

Actual

3.4%

Previous

3.5%

+3 more

As of Aug 12, 2026

MSCI August 2026 quarterly index review (Persian Gulf constituents)

MSCI will announce the results of its August 2026 quarterly index review for Emerging Markets indices on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, with changes effective September 1, 2026. The review affects index weighting of large-cap constituents on Tadawul, DFM, ADX, and the Qatar Exchange, and can shift passive fund flows into these Persian Gulf markets.

Status

occurred

Changes from the review

شرکت دو (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications, دبی) به شاخص بازارهای نوظهور MSCI افزوده شد؛ تعليم (Taaleem) و دیار (Deyaar) از شاخص کوچک‌مقیاس (Small Cap) امارات حذف شدند

+1 more

As of Aug 13, 2026

Iran Relief Committee and Welfare Organization Mordad Stipend Payment

Iran's State Welfare Organization and the Imam Khomeini Relief Committee began paying the Mordad 1405 monthly stipend to covered households on Tuesday, 11 August 2026 (20 Mordad 1405). This year's stipend budget rose 50 percent from last year, and the amount ranges by household size from 2,100,000 tomans for one person to 6,570,000 tomans for five or more.

Value

2,100,000-6,570,000 toman (by household size)

As of Aug 11, 2026

Tehran Residential Construction-Input Price Index - Spring 1405 (Q1)

Iran's Statistical Center reported the price index for residential construction inputs in Tehran reached 336.4 in spring 1405. The index is up 106.8% from the same quarter a year earlier, up 80.0% over the trailing four quarters, and up 20.7% from winter 1404.

Actual

336.4

Year over year

80.0%

+2 more

As of Aug 10, 2026

Deadline for Listed Companies to Disclose Social Responsibility Costs

Iran's Securities and Exchange Organization issued a notice requiring the chief executives of Tehran Stock Exchange and Iran Fara Bourse listed companies to publish details of their social responsibility spending for fiscal year 1404 and their plans for 1405 on the Codal disclosure system. Issuers must disclose the information, covering at least 10 percent of total costs incurred, by the end of business on Monday, August 10, 2026 (19 Mordad 1405).

China CPI and PPI - July 2026 data

China's National Bureau of Statistics released July 2026 consumer and producer price data on 9 August 2026. Annual consumer inflation eased to 0.5 percent (forecast 0.8, prior 1.0), with prices down 0.1 percent month on month. Producer prices rose 3.5 percent year on year, slowing from 4.1 percent. China is Iran's largest oil buyer, so its price and demand trends affect commodity markets and Iran's export revenue.

Actual

0.5%

Forecast

0.8%

+4 more

As of Aug 9, 2026

Subscription opens for 11th IME silver fund, symbol Sian

Subscription for the Kala-ye Dibaay-e Meyar investment fund, the 11th silver fund on the Iran Mercantile Exchange trading under the symbol Sian, opened Sunday, 9 August 2026 (18 Mordad 1405), for three business days. The fund is the latest in a wave of silver investment funds launched on the exchange. Per Kalanews (IME report), the subscription drew over 200 billion tomans within the first minutes.

Status

opened

Demand

۲۰۰ میلیارد تومان (در دقایق ابتدایی)

As of Aug 9, 2026

Saipa Mordad 1405 sales registration opens for Quick S and Zamyad EX

Saipa published its Mordad 1405 sales circulars, with registration for two schemes opening on Saturday 8 August 2026. Quick S is offered under the production participation scheme at a 497,950,000 toman down payment and a 20.5 percent participation rate, from 10:00 until the end of Monday 10 August 2026, for delivery in August or September 2027. Credit sales of the dual fuel Zamyad EX open at 11:00 the same day with 800 to 950 million toman facilities at a 23 percent rate (5 August 2026).

Status

registration opened as scheduled

As of Aug 8, 2026

Bank Melli Iran deadline to clear remaining customer account discrepancies

Bank Melli Iran said on Monday 3 August 2026 (12 Mordad 1405) that discrepancies in some customers' accounts and transactions, which arose after a disruption to its banking systems, will be corrected by Saturday 8 August 2026 (17 Mordad 1405). The bank said technical and operational work to stabilise its systems is continuing. Bank Melli Iran is the country's largest state owned bank and handles part of the government's payments.

Options on Zargar gold fund units launch on the Iran Mercantile Exchange

The Iran Mercantile Exchange announced that options contracts on units of the Karamad gold fund, trading under the symbol Zargar, with a Shahrivar 1405 expiry, will launch on Saturday 8 August 2026 (17 Mordad 1405). The contracts expire on 19 September 2026 (28 Shahrivar 1405) and trade without a price fluctuation limit. Each session opens with a 15 minute auction period before moving to normal continuous trading.

Status

launched as scheduled

As of Aug 8, 2026

US Employment Situation report - July 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the monthly Employment Situation report with July 2026 data on Friday, August 7, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000, versus a forecast gain of 83,000, while the unemployment rate slipped to 4.1% as labor force participation fell to 61.4%. Federal Reserve decisions, which the report feeds into, influence the US dollar, global gold prices, and Iranian asset markets.

Actual

-23,000 nonfarm payrolls; unemployment rate 4.1%

Forecast

+83,000 nonfarm payrolls

+2 more

As of Aug 7, 2026

US Employment Situation (jobs report) - August 2026

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report for July 2026 was released Friday, August 7, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls fell by a seasonally adjusted 23,000, against a forecast gain of 83,000, while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1%.

Actual

-23,000 nonfarm payrolls; unemployment rate 4.1%

Forecast

+83,000 nonfarm payrolls

+2 more

As of Aug 7, 2026

China balance of trade - July 2026 data

China's customs authority published July 2026 trade data on 7 August 2026. The trade surplus reached USD 112.5 billion, above the USD 107 billion forecast, with exports up 23.9% yoy and imports up 27.7% yoy. The figures matter for gauging Chinese demand for oil and metals and for Iran's export revenue outlook.

Iran revises e-ration voucher charging dates to the 5th, 15th and 25th

Iran's deputy labour and welfare minister announced on 12 Shahrivar 1405 (September 3, 2026) that the electronic food ration voucher (kalabarg) charging schedule has changed from the 15th, 20th and 25th of each month to the 5th, 15th and 25th. He said no income decile has been dropped from the three monthly tranches, and that the September 4 charge (5 Shahrivar) covered the Mordad allotment.

Status

in effect

As of Sep 3, 2026

Iran electronic food voucher credit for Mordad 1405 begins for national IDs ending zero to two

The Mordad 1405 tranche of Iran's electronic food voucher is credited from Thursday, 6 August 2026, to heads of household whose national ID ends in zero, one or two. The credit is set at 10 million rials (1 million tomans) and can be spent at participating stores on essential goods (5 August 2026). The voucher is charged in stages by the last digit of the household head's national ID.

Status

credited

As of Aug 6, 2026

Siba Motor FAW truck and tractor unit cash sale registration opens

Siba Motor (Bahman Group) published its Mordad 1405 cash sales circular, offering three FAW models at fixed prices with immediate delivery. Registration runs from 11:00 on 5 August 2026 to 16:00 on 19 August 2026, or until capacity is filled, via the Bahman Group online portal. Prices were set at 166,585,540,000 rials for the FAW 460 single-axle tractor unit, 172,170,730,000 for the twin-axle unit and 170,859,460,000 for the dump truck (5 August 2026).

Status

registration_opened

As of Aug 5, 2026

Offices and banks closed in seven Iranian provinces on 5 August 2026 for energy demand management

Under provincial circulars issued up to the evening of 4 August 2026, offices, banks and public bodies in Ilam, Qom, Kermanshah, Hormozgan, Bushehr and Kordestan are closed on Wednesday 5 August 2026, while in Sistan and Baluchestan the closure covers Zabol, Zahak, Hamoun, Hirmand and Nimroz counties, and Khuzestan staff work remotely. The reasons given are electricity imbalance management, heat, an orange weather warning and Arbaeen traffic, with hospitals, relief and police exempt.

Status

in effect

provinces fully closed

6

+2 more

As of Aug 5, 2026

Tenth Iran and Pakistan Joint Trade Committee session in Islamabad

The tenth session of the Iran and Pakistan Joint Trade Committee is held in Islamabad on 4 and 5 August 2026, with Seyed Mohammad Atabak, Iran's minister of industry, mine and trade, leading the Iranian delegation alongside Jam Kamal Khan, Pakistan's commerce minister. The agenda runs to 19 items, led by a free trade agreement text, goods barter and port transit bottlenecks. On the first day the two sides reaffirmed a 10 billion dollar bilateral trade target (4 August 2026).

Status

day_1_held

bilateral trade target usd billion

10

As of Aug 4, 2026

Bahman Motor fixed-price sales registration window opens for two models

Bahman Motor set out terms for selling two models, the Fidelity Elite Type 2 and the Respect 2, for the month of Mordad 1405, in a sales notice published on Sunday 2 August 2026 (11 Mordad 1405). Registration runs from 10:00 on Monday 3 August 2026 until 16:00 on Monday 10 August 2026, or until capacity is filled, whichever comes first, through the company's online sales system. The scheme is cash and cash-credit, at a fixed price, with no lottery and a delivery window of 30 working days.

Status

registration_opened

As of Aug 3, 2026

Tehran pilot of Iran gasoline subsidy transfer to bank cards begins

Iran's Ministry of Economic Affairs and Finance said on Monday 3 August 2026 that the scheme moving the gasoline subsidy quota from fuel cards to bank cards had begun as a pilot in Tehran, with the oil and communications ministries and the Central Bank, and unrelated to any change in the gasoline price or quota ceilings. Outcome: the pilot started on 3 August 2026 and the programme director said the same day that nationwide rollout would follow by the middle to late part of autumn 1405.

Status

started

rollout target

mid to late autumn 1405

As of Aug 3, 2026

Arbaeen pilgrim foreign currency sale window closes

The sale of Arbaeen pilgrimage foreign currency, open since 11 July 2026, closes on 3 August 2026, one day before Arbaeen. Under the Central Bank of Iran instruction, each eligible pilgrim above five years of age who has registered on the Samah system may buy up to 200,000 Iraqi dinars at the Exchange Center agreed rate with no commission. This year the licensed exchange bureau network was added to the distribution channel alongside the participating banks.

Status

completed

Reason

پنجره فروش طبق برنامه اعلام‌شده در پایان ۱۲ مرداد ۱۴۰۵ بسته شد؛ آمار رسمی از مجموع ارز فروخته‌شده منتشر نشده است.

As of Aug 3, 2026

Turkey CPI report - July 2026 data

Turkey's statistics office (TurkStat) published its Consumer Price Index report for July 2026 data on Monday 3 August 2026 (12 Mordad 1405). Annual inflation eased to 31.75% from 32.11% in June, while the monthly rise came in at 1.78%, accelerating from 0.99% in June. Both readings landed slightly below the Anadolu survey forecast of 31.8% annual and 1.82% monthly, and the 12 month moving average stood at 31.90%.

Actual

31.75% YoY

Forecast

31.8% YoY

+5 more

As of Aug 3, 2026

Central Insurance of Iran authorises war risk cover for businesses

Central Insurance of Iran issued a circular authorising insurers to provide war risk cover to legal entities and businesses; Mehr news agency reported it on Sunday 2 August 2026. Insurers may write the cover for units whose capital is below 2,000 billion rials, with the insurer's liability capped at 50 percent of the insured sum. The premium rate is set at no less than 8.5 per thousand of the insured sum, with a 20 percent deductible on each claim.

Status

Circular issued to insurers, war risk cover permitted for businesses

Rate

minimum 8.5 per thousand of the insured sum

As of Aug 2, 2026

Iran Khodro publishes 14th sales round results and terms for selected applicants

Iran Khodro published on Sunday 2 August 2026 (11 Mordad 1405) the sales circular for applicants drawn in the lottery of its 14th offering round, who must complete registration and payment within the stated window. The round covered 13 models with total capacity of 53,900 vehicles, split 50 percent to the population growth scheme, 30 percent to ordinary applicants and 20 percent to scrappage replacement. Registrations totalled 861,285.

Actual

861,285 registrations against 53,900 vehicles offered

Volume

53,900 vehicles across 13 models

+4 more

As of Aug 2, 2026

Iran government confirms 3,000 toman petrol quota cut to 50 litres

Government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani said on Sunday 2 August 2026 (11 Mordad 1405) that the petrol quota priced at 3,000 toman a litre, 100 litres when the scheme began and 70 litres during the war, now stands at 50 litres. She said the 60 litre quota at 1,500 toman and the free rate of 5,000 toman are unchanged, and any price rise will be announced before it takes effect. She put delivery cost at about 4,000 toman a litre and domestic output at roughly 100 million litres a day.

Actual

50 litres a month at 3,000 toman a litre

Previous

70 litres during the war period and 100 litres at the start of the scheme

+2 more

As of Aug 2, 2026

Japan and US joint foreign exchange intervention to support the yen

Japan's Ministry of Finance and the US Treasury officially confirmed on 3 August 2026 the joint yen buying intervention carried out on Friday 31 July 2026. It was the first coordinated action by the two countries since 2011 and came with the yen near a 40 year low. The dollar index is among the variables affecting the world gold price and, through it, Iran's gold and currency markets.

Status

confirmed by Japan MoF and US Treasury

Rate

157.70 yen per dollar after the Japanese Finance Ministry statement

+1 more

As of Aug 3, 2026

Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting - July 2026 rate decision

The Bank of Japan held its two-day monetary policy meeting on July 30-31, 2026 (8-9 Mordad 1405), with the interest-rate decision announced on the second day. The meeting was accompanied by the Bank's Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices, and the Policy Board decided on the short-term policy rate. Outcome: the short-term policy rate was left unchanged at 1.00 percent, approved by an 8-1 vote with one board member dissenting in favour of a further increase.

Rate

1.00%

Forecast

1.00%

+2 more

As of Jul 31, 2026

China official manufacturing PMI - July 2026

China's National Bureau of Statistics released the official manufacturing PMI for July on July 31, 2026 (9 Mordad 1405), a reading that informs assessments of China's economic trend and its demand for oil and base commodities. Outcome: the index came in at 49.2, down from 50.3 in June and below the market expectation of 50.0. The output and new-orders sub-indices both fell back to 49.9, below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

Actual

49.2

Forecast

50.0

+3 more

As of Jul 31, 2026

Eurozone flash HICP inflation estimate - July 2026

Eurostat published its flash estimate of eurozone Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation for July 2026 on July 31. Annual inflation came in at 2.9%, in line with market expectations and up from 2.8% in June, remaining above the European Central Bank's 2% target. The rise was driven mainly by energy inflation accelerating to 10.0% from 8.5%, while services inflation edged up to 3.3% and core inflation reached 2.5%.

US Personal Income and Outlays with PCE price index - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the June 2026 Personal Income and Outlays report on July 30. The PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, fell 0.1 percent on the month and rose 3.7 percent on the year, while the core index excluding food and energy rose 0.1 percent monthly and 3.3 percent annually. Personal income rose 0.2 percent, spending rose 0.3 percent, and the saving rate was 2.7 percent.

Actual

3.7% (PCE price index, yoy)

Year over year

3.7%

+7 more

As of Jul 30, 2026

Bank of England MPC meeting - July 2026 Bank Rate decision

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee announced its Bank Rate decision on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (8 Mordad 1405), at 12:00 London time. The Committee voted 6 to 3 to maintain the Bank Rate at 3.75%, with three members voting for a 0.25 percentage point increase to 4%. The Bank reported that CPI inflation has fallen to 2.6% but is expected to rise later in the year as higher energy prices continue to pass through. The next decision is scheduled for September 17, 2026.

Rate

3.75%

Previous

3.75%

+4 more

As of Jul 30, 2026

Euro area GDP flash estimate - Q2 2026

Eurostat published its flash estimate of second-quarter 2026 GDP on 30 July 2026. The euro area economy grew 0.4 percent on the previous quarter, against flat growth in the first quarter and a market expectation of 0.2 percent, while annual growth accelerated to 1.0 percent from 0.5 percent. The wider European Union grew 0.5 percent over the same quarter. A second estimate is scheduled for 14 August 2026.

Actual

0.4% (qoq, euro area)

Forecast

0.2%

+3 more

As of Jul 30, 2026

US GDP advance estimate - Q2 2026

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released the advance estimate of Q2 2026 GDP growth on July 30, 2026. Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter, after 2.1 percent in the first quarter. Increases in consumer spending, investment and exports drove the rise, partly offset by a decrease in government spending. The next estimate is due on August 26, 2026.

Actual

1.5% (annualized, Q2 2026 advance estimate)

Previous

2.1% (Q1 2026)

As of Jul 30, 2026

Iran labour force survey results - spring 1405

The Statistical Center of Iran published its spring 1405 labour force survey results on 29 July 2026 (7 Mordad 1405). The unemployment rate for the population aged 15 and over came in at 9.1 percent, up 1.8 percentage points from spring 1404, while the economic participation rate stood at 40.7 percent. The employed population was reported at 24,672,000, about 450,000 fewer than a year earlier.

FOMC meeting - July 2026 rate decision

The US Federal Open Market Committee held its policy meeting on 28 and 29 July 2026 and kept the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%, in line with market expectations. The decision passed on a 9 to 3 vote; the presidents of the Cleveland, Minneapolis and Dallas Federal Reserve Banks preferred a 0.25 percentage point increase at this meeting. The outcome affects the US dollar, global gold prices, and commodity markets relevant to Iran's economy.

Rate

3.50% - 3.75%

Previous

3.50% - 3.75%

+3 more

As of Jul 29, 2026

Central Bank of Iran urban consumer price index - Tir 1405 data

The Central Bank of Iran published its monthly urban consumer price index for Tir 1405 on 28 July 2026. The index reached 742.8, a 3.6 percent rise on the previous month, against 7.4 percent in Khordad. Point-to-point inflation was 83.9 percent, versus 40.6 percent a year earlier, and the twelve-month rate to Tir 1405 was reported in a range of 61.4 to 61.6 percent.

Actual

742.8

Month over month

3.6%

+3 more

As of Jul 28, 2026

Statistics Center of Iran CPI report - Tir 1405 data

Iran's Statistics Center published its Tir 1405 Consumer Price Index report on 28 July 2026. The nationwide household CPI reached 676.9 in Tir, a 3.1 percent rise on the previous month. Point-to-point inflation (versus Tir 1404) was 87.9 percent and the twelve-month annual rate to Tir 1405 was 66.0 percent; the preceding month's point-to-point reading, for Khordad 1405, was 88.6 percent.

Actual

676.9

Month over month

3.1%

+3 more

As of Jul 28, 2026

Iran Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - Tir 1405 data

The research center of the Iran Chamber of Commerce, Industries, Mines and Agriculture published its whole-economy PMI report for Tir 1405 data. The seasonally adjusted index came in at 47.3, a sixteenth consecutive month below the 50 threshold, though the pace of decline eased from the previous month. The output sub-index also stayed below 50 for a sixteenth straight month.

Actual

47.3

note en

Seasonally adjusted whole-economy PMI; sixteenth consecutive month below 50

As of Jul 28, 2026

Bank of Russia key rate decision - July 2026

The Bank of Russia's Board of Directors cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points to 14.00% per annum at its meeting on 24 July 2026, down from 14.25%. The decision continued the central bank's gradual easing of recent months. Bank of Russia decisions carry indirect relevance for Iran's markets given the two countries' trade and energy ties.

Rate

14.00%

Previous

14.25%

+2 more

As of Jul 24, 2026

Central Bank of Iran completes 1.5 point increase in bank reserve requirement ratio

On July 23, 2026 the Central Bank of Iran announced that the second stage of its reserve requirement ratio increase, a further 0.75 percentage point, applies to all banks and credit institutions, bringing the two stage total to 1.5 percentage points. It rests on item (1) of the resolutions of the 61st meeting of the Monetary and Foreign Exchange Policy Council held on April 26, 2026, and the Central Bank states the aim is to manage liquidity growth and curb inflation.

stage two increase pp

0.75

cumulative increase pp

1.5

+1 more

As of Jul 23, 2026

Iran Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - Tir 1405 data

The research arm of the Iran Chamber of Commerce, Industries, Mines and Agriculture published its monthly Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report for Tir 1405 in early Mordad 1405. The seasonally adjusted whole-economy PMI was reported at 47.3, while the output index stood at 48.4, a sixteenth consecutive month below 50. A reading below 50 indicates contracting economic activity.

Actual

47.3

Previous

38.5 to 42.9 (Khordad 1405 data; press figures diverged)

+1 more

As of Jul 23, 2026

Imported vehicle sales round via the Integrated Allocation System - Mordad 1405

Iran's Integrated Vehicle Allocation System opened a new round of imported-car sales on Thursday, 1 Mordad 1405 (23 July 2026). Twelve imported models were offered in this round, and applicants registered through the official portal at salecars.ir after designating one of their bank accounts under the title of imported vehicle. The registration window closed on Monday, 5 Mordad 1405 (27 July 2026), and the allocation results will be added to this page once they are officially announced.

Status

closed

Reason

پایان مهلت ثبت‌نام در سامانه یکپارچه / registration window closed

As of Jul 27, 2026

TCMB Monetary Policy Committee meeting - July 2026

Turkey's central bank (TCMB) Monetary Policy Committee met on 23 July 2026 (1 Mordad 1405) and held its policy rate (the one-week repo auction rate) at 37% for a fourth consecutive meeting. The overnight lending rate was kept at 40% and the overnight borrowing rate at 35.5%, with the Committee noting energy prices remain volatile and elevated. TCMB decisions matter for Iran markets given Turkey's trade and currency links with Iran.

Rate

37%

Previous

37%

+3 more

As of Jul 23, 2026

ECB Governing Council meeting - July 2026

The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt on 23 July 2026 (1 Mordad 1405) to decide on eurozone interest rates. The Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2.25%, in line with market expectations (main refinancing operations at 2.40% and the marginal lending facility at 2.65%). The hold followed a 25 basis point increase at the June meeting and affects the euro-dollar exchange rate and global commodity markets.

Rate

2.25%

Previous

2.25%

+3 more

As of Jul 23, 2026

Iran interbank rate weekly reading - week ending 22 July 2026

The Central Bank of Iran put the weighted-average interbank market rate at 23.97 percent for the week ending Wednesday, 31 Tir 1405 (22 July 2026), up from 23.92 percent the week before. The interbank rate measures the cost at which banks fund each other over short maturities and is published weekly.

Rate

23.97

Previous

23.92

As of Jul 22, 2026

Cash subsidy deposit for deciles 4-9 - Tir 1405

The cash subsidy for income deciles 4-9 was deposited on July 22, 2026 (31 Tir 1405) at 300,000 tomans per person, equal to 1,200,000 tomans for a four-person household. An earlier phase for deciles 1-3 had been paid on 25 Tir at 400,000 tomans per person.

Status

deposited

amount per person toman

300000

+1 more

As of Jul 22, 2026

PBoC Loan Prime Rate announcement - July 2026

The People's Bank of China announced its 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on July 20, 2026, per its regular monthly convention. The rate influences China's growth outlook and its demand for oil and base commodities relevant to Iranian exports. Both were left unchanged, with the 1-year rate at 3.0% and the over-5-year rate at 3.5%, the fourteenth straight month the two rates have held steady.

one year lpr

3.0%

five year lpr

3.5%

+3 more

As of Jul 20, 2026

Cash subsidy deposit for deciles 1-3 - Tir 1405

Iran's Targeted Subsidy Organization deposited the cash subsidy for deciles 1-3 on July 16, 2026 (25 Tir 1405) at 400,000 tomans per person (400,000 for a one-person household, 800,000 for two, 1,200,000 for three). The payment is part of the targeted subsidy program for lower-income households; the subsidy for deciles 4-9 is scheduled for 31 Tir (July 22).

Status

deposited

amount per person toman

400000

As of Jul 16, 2026

China GDP - Q2 2026 preliminary estimate

China's National Bureau of Statistics reported on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 that the economy grew 4.3% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, the slowest quarterly pace since late 2022 and below both the market forecast (4.5%) and the first-quarter rate (5.0%). First-half growth came in at 4.7% and quarter-on-quarter growth at 0.9%. Slowing momentum in the world's second-largest economy weighs on commodity and emerging-market sentiment relevant to Iran's trade and gold flows.

Actual

4.3%

Forecast

4.5%

+4 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

US Producer Price Index (PPI) - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June 2026 Producer Price Index (PPI) on July 15 (24 Tir 1405); alongside the CPI it is a main gauge of inflationary pressure and a key input to Fed policy expectations. Final-demand PPI fell 0.3 percent in June (versus a forecast of unchanged) and rose 5.5 percent year over year; core PPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.2 percent on the month and 4.7 percent on the year, signaling easing pipeline inflation driven mainly by falling energy prices.

Actual

-0.3%

Forecast

0.0%

+5 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

US CPI report - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June 2026 Consumer Price Index. Annual inflation eased to 3.5% (from 4.2% the prior month and below the 3.8% forecast), with the index down 0.4% on the month, largely on falling energy prices; core inflation (excluding food and energy) ran at 2.6% year over year and was flat on the month. The reading shapes Federal Reserve rate expectations and moves the dollar index and gold price, both key drivers of Iran's parallel FX and gold markets.

Fed Chair Warsh's semiannual monetary policy testimony to Congress (July 2026)

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered the semiannual monetary policy report to Congress, appearing before the House Financial Services Committee on July 14, 2026 (23 Tir 1405) and the Senate Banking Committee on July 15. Warsh reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to its 2% inflation goal, called the recent improvement in inflation not yet complete, and gave few clues on the rate path, with the federal funds target range held at 3.50%-3.75%. It is closely watched for the dollar and gold.

Status

Held

Rate

3.50%–3.75%

+1 more

As of Jul 15, 2026

Saipa Quick LGX-L pre-sale window - second half of Tir 1405

Registration for Saipa's Quick LGX-L pre-sale round opens for the second half of Tir 1405, running July 13-15, 2026, on Iran's unified vehicle sales platform.

Central Bank of Iraq cuts traveler dollar allowance to $2,000

On July 8, 2026 the Central Bank of Iraq cut the monthly cash foreign-currency allowance for outbound Iraqi travelers from $3,000 to $2,000 per adult passenger. The move is part of a broader CBI reform package to manage foreign-exchange reserves and curb parallel-market dollar demand, with relevance for Iran-Iraq cross-border currency and trade flows.

Status

implemented

newAllowanceUsd

2000

+1 more

As of Jul 8, 2026

Turkey CPI report - June 2026 data

Turkey's statistics office (TUIK) reported annual CPI inflation of 32.11% for June 2026, down from 32.61% in May. TUIK publishes the CPI print on the third working day of each month.

Actual

32.11

Previous

32.61

+1 more

As of Jul 3, 2026

US Employment Situation report - June 2026 data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Employment Situation report for June 2026 data on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 57,000, below the roughly 115,000 consensus forecast, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and average hourly earnings increased 0.3% month over month to $37.64.

Iran Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - Khordad 1405 data

The ICCIMA research center published Iran's overall-economy Purchasing Managers' Index for Khordad 1405 (May-June 2026) data in early Tir. Outlets reported diverging figures (38.5 per Taadol Newspaper versus 42.9 in other sources), though both remain below the 50 expansion threshold; the industrial sub-index hit a record low.

Status

reported with diverging figures across sources

note fa

طبق روزنامه تعادل ۳۸.۵ و بر اساس سایر منابع رسانه‌ای ۴۲.۹؛ هر دو رقم زیر آستانه ۵۰

As of Jul 1, 2026

Tehran residential construction-input price index - Winter 1404 (Q4)

The Statistical Center of Iran reported the Tehran residential construction-input price index at 278.6 for winter 1404 (Q4, base period 1402=100), up 36% quarter-on-quarter and 96.8% year-on-year. The index underlies the site's construction-cost calculator.

Actual

278.6

qoq

+36%

+2 more

As of Mar 20, 2026